Robert Morris 
W-L: ( 6-12) PR = 75.4436
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
206 A George Mason Atlantic 10 ( 6-10, 76.0) 11-10
213 H Canisius Metro Atlan (12- 5, 81.1) 8-11
218 H Duquesne Atlantic 10 ( 2-13, 73.1) 13-12
222 H Cincinnati Big 12 ( 9- 8, 83.0) 3- 9
225 A St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 (11- 8, 82.4) 4-11
301 A Ohio State Big Ten ( 9- 8, 90.1) 3-17
307 H Binghamton America Eas ( 6- 9, 80.0) 9-15
314 A Central Michigan MAC ( 4-12, 74.4) 8- 7
319 H Youngstown State MAC ( 3-13, 72.3) 4- 5
324 A Notre Dame ACC (12- 6, 93.4) 2-20
328 H Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (16- 3, 89.5) 6-18
404 A Kent State MAC ( 7-10, 75.9) 8- 5
411 H Akron MAC (12- 5, 80.4) 6-16
415 A Pittsburgh ACC ( 9- 7, 88.7) 10-15
418 A Eastern Michigan MAC (10- 7, 79.5) 3-13
422 A Mercyhurst Northeast ( 3-11, 67.2) 12-10
425 H Detroit Mercy MAC ( 0-12, 66.0) 15- 5
430 H Massachusetts Atlantic 10 (16- 3, 89.5) 5-14
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A George Mason 11-10 1 -2 + 2.90
213 H Canisius 8-11 -3 -4 1.34
218 H Duquesne 13-12 1 4 - -2.71
222 H Cincinnati 3- 9 -6 -6 0.15
225 A St Bonaventure 4-11 -7 -8 1.32
301 A Ohio State 3-17 -14 -16 0.00
307 H Binghamton 9-15 -6 -3 - -2.81
314 A Central Michigan 8- 7 1 0 1.32
319 H Youngstown State 4- 5 -1 5 -- -5.53
324 A Notre Dame 2-20 -18 -19 0.00
328 H Massachusetts 6-18 -12 -13 0.66
404 A Kent State 8- 5 3 -2 ++ 4.78
411 H Akron 6-16 -10 -4 --- -6.42
415 A Pittsburgh 10-15 -5 -15 +++ 9.00
418 A Eastern Michigan 3-13 -10 -5 -- -4.57
422 A Mercyhurst 12-10 2 7 -- -4.90
425 H Detroit Mercy 15- 5 10 11 -0.85
430 H Massachusetts 5-14 -9 -13 + 3.66
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
411 H Akron 6-16 -10 -4 --- -6.42
319 H Youngstown State 4- 5 -1 5 -- -5.53
418 A Eastern Michigan 3-13 -10 -5 -- -4.57
422 A Mercyhurst 12-10 2 7 -- -4.90
218 H Duquesne 13-12 1 4 - -2.71
307 H Binghamton 9-15 -6 -3 - -2.81
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
415 A Pittsburgh 10-15 -5 -15 +++ 9.00
404 A Kent State 8- 5 3 -2 ++ 4.78
206 A George Mason 11-10 1 -2 + 2.90
430 H Massachusetts 5-14 -9 -13 + 3.66
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A George Mason ( 6-10, 76.0) 11-10 -23.93 16.24 1.37 0.96 33.90
3 H Canisius (12- 5, 81.1) 8-11 -18.75 21.42 -1.37 0.96 -9.68
3 H Duquesne ( 2-13, 73.1) 13-12 -26.79 13.37 -1.37 0.96 23.11
3 H Cincinnati ( 9- 8, 83.0) 3- 9 -16.93 23.23 -1.37 0.96 -8.81
3 A St Bonaventure (11- 8, 82.4) 4-11 -17.51 22.66 1.37 0.96 -7.77
3 A Ohio State ( 9- 8, 90.1) 3-17 -9.80 30.36 1.37 0.96 -4.06
3 H Binghamton ( 6- 9, 80.0) 9-15 -19.89 20.27 -1.37 0.96 -10.23
3 A Central Michig ( 4-12, 74.4) 8- 7 -25.50 14.67 1.37 0.96 30.86
3 H Youngstown Sta ( 3-13, 72.3) 4- 5 -27.62 12.55 -1.37 0.96 -13.95
3 A Notre Dame (12- 6, 93.4) 2-20 -6.52 33.65 1.37 0.96 -2.48
3 H Massachusetts (16- 3, 89.5) 6-18 -10.43 29.74 -1.37 0.96 -5.68
3 A Kent State ( 7-10, 75.9) 8- 5 -24.04 16.12 1.37 0.96 33.67
3 H Akron (12- 5, 80.4) 6-16 -19.51 20.66 -1.37 0.96 -10.05
3 A Pittsburgh ( 9- 7, 88.7) 10-15 -11.19 28.97 1.37 0.96 -4.73
3 A Eastern Michig (10- 7, 79.5) 3-13 -20.39 19.78 1.37 0.96 -9.15
3 A Mercyhurst ( 3-11, 67.2) 12-10 -32.73 7.44 1.37 0.96 16.95
3 H Detroit Mercy ( 0-12, 66.0) 15- 5 -33.94 6.23 -1.37 0.96 9.35
3 H Massachusetts (16- 3, 89.5) 5-14 -10.43 29.74 -1.37 0.96 -5.68
------
55.59
|
winning pts = 147.8385 losing points = -92.2528
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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